Trend Line

CTV News

A check-in on the public mood of Canadians with CTV News' pollster Nik Nanos and host Michael Stittle.

Introducing Trend Line from CTV News
Trailer 53 sec

All Episodes

CTV News' Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss Canadians' feelings on the standard of living for future generations. Also, Nik discusses why the Ontario NDP may be disappointed by some recent survey numbers ahead of the coming provincial election. Finally, Nik discusses Canadians' perceptions on the health threat posed by Americans amid global concern around the Omicron coronavirus variant.

Dec 1

15 min 31 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the status of the opposition parties ahead of Parliament's return next week, including how Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole is faring amid challenges from within his own party. And as representatives from the U.S. and Canada are set to meet, what do the two countries have in common? Nik breaks it down for us with ten years of accumulated data.

Nov 17

19 min 57 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss some surprises in the latest federal tracking numbers and whether Alta. Premier Jason Kenney is in political trouble. Also, with the COP26 summit ongoing, how do Canadians feel about taking drastic action on climate change? Nik explains some of his recent polling. This episode used a survey from Innovative Research Group, you can find more details here: https://innovativeresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/CTM2109-AB-Report-Release-1-1.pdf

Nov 4

15 min 37 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss how the environment has moved ahead of the coronavirus as the top unprompted issue of concern for Canadians. What does that mean for the Canadian political landscape? Nik weighs in. Also, how long will Prime Minister Justin Trudeau stay on as leader of the Liberal Party? For Nik, there could be some signals sprinkled throughout the upcoming speech from the throne. Trend Line is back on our regular publishing schedule. You can find us wherever you get your podcasts every two weeks.

Oct 5

13 min 24 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos do a recap of the polling from the 2021 federal election and dive into where each party now stands. Nik weighs in on whether Prime Minister Justin Trudeau should have delivered a different speech on election night, where the Conservatives go from here and what the Green Party should do after the resignation of Annamie Paul. Trend Line will return on Tuesday, Oct. 5.

Sep 29

15 min 56 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos break down the final poll numbers of the campaign and discuss what to look for tonight, when you're watching the results come in on the live special CTV NEWS: ELECTION 2021. 

Sep 20

10 min 15 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the daily tracking numbers and the possible outcome of the Sept. 20 election. Will it be a majority for the Liberals? That's "not out of the realm of possibility," according to Nik. Also, what do the party leaders need to do going into the final weekend? Nik weighs in with what we should watch out for.

Sep 17

13 min 17 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the daily numbers and take a closer look at a regional breakdown of party support. As Nik explains, the numbers show the race tightening between the Liberals and Conservatives across the country, with the exception of the Greater Toronto Area and Montreal, where the Liberals hold a lead. CTVNews.ca election night sneak peek: For those looking for the map mentioned on the show, here's the link: https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/federal-election-2019/results-map Please note that this version of the map currently shows the results from the 2019 election. You'll be able to see the map with updated numbers as they roll in on Sept. 20.

Sep 15

10 min 53 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the daily tracking numbers and if a decline in support for NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh as the preferred prime minister indicates a drop in overall support may be coming. Also, Nik takes us through what he expects from each party as we enter the final week of the campaign.

Sep 13

15 min 59 sec

Sept. 10: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the English-language leaders' debate and how each candidate performed. Also, should the Conservatives and Liberals be concerned about vote splits? Nik looks at how support for the NDP and PPC could determine which party forms the next government.

Sep 10

13 min 56 sec

Sept. 8: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the nightly tracking numbers and if the protests at some Liberal campaign events have had an impact. Also, Nik looks ahead to the two official debates and what each candidate needs to do to shift momentum in their favour.

Sep 8

15 min 16 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the nightly tracking numbers and how they now show a definite advantage for Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole. Is it too late for the Liberals to turn things around? Also, Nik discusses a new survey that asked Canadians whether they felt this election was necessary.

Sep 3

9 min 49 sec

Sept. 1: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss how the recent economic numbers could affect the campaign. Also, Nik shares his most surprising takeaway from a survey of residents in the Greater Toronto Area.

Sep 1

11 min 57 sec

Aug. 30: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the daily numbers and dive into the current seat count projection ("It's basically a rocket for the Conservatives"). Also, will the NDP have a breakout moment during the debates? Nik discusses in his breakdown of the NDP trend line so far.

Aug 30

8 min 50 sec

Aug. 27: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the latest poll numbers ("an absolute dead heat") and whether there has been a change in the preferred prime minister numbers. Then, Nik breaks down party ballot support along gender lines. What he sees from the numbers is a "striking" difference between female and male support for the progressive parties and the Conservatives.

Aug 27

10 min 52 sec

Aug. 25: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the latest tracking numbers: are the results from today a one-off or is there a trend emerging? Also, with the NDP numbers dipping slightly, is there something the party can do to stop its support from shifting to the Liberals? Finally, Nik looks ahead to the coming school year and whether that will have an impact on the campaign.

Aug 25

8 min

Aug. 23: CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the Nanos Daily Tracking Numbers that show the federal election race is in a dead heat between the Liberals and Conservatives. Nik also dives into a big takeaway from the preferred PM numbers: Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole has had a big jump from just a couple of weeks ago.  

Aug 23

6 min 44 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos dive into why housing is here to stay as a key issue on the campaign trail. Also, what's in an image? In politics, a lot. See Nik break down each party leader and the image they're trying to portray in the early days of the election.

Aug 20

11 min 45 sec

On this episode of Trend Line… CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the implications of the Nova Scotia election results on the federal campaign before diving into some of the issues (vaccines, the economy, Afghanistan) that could define the national political race.

Aug 18

9 min 36 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos kick off another campaign with an election edition of Trend Line. The show will publish every Monday, Wednesday and Friday to keep you up to date on all the latest news and polling. Make sure to tune in.

Aug 16

18 min 6 sec

On this episode of Trend Line… CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss where Canada stands on vaccine passports as travel options start to open up around the world. Also, with the prospect of an increased number of mail-in ballots being cast in a potential federal election, is there a party that stands to benefit? Nik weighs in. Plus, the latest on the Green Party and where the Conservatives stand in the West.

Jul 29

24 min 24 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos take a look at where each federal opposition leader stands going into a potential election later in the year. It's the challengers episode! (Complete with summer homework assignments.) Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole will need to perform a balancing act between keeping his party united in the West and gaining some additional seats in Ontario. While NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh will need to take advantage of some of the goodwill he's earned from Canadians. Listen to the show for all the rest. Finally, in our 'Upshot' segment, Nanos explains why the Liberal numbers might be 'overpriced' and why a win in a snap election might not be a sure thing for the party.

Jul 15

21 min 8 sec

On this week's episode of Trend Line: Nik shares his insights into how large sporting events can be associated with a positive surge in the polls for incumbent governments. Will he or won't he? We're talking about Mark Carney, of course! Nik breaks down the potential political ambitions of the former banker. Catherine McKenna has announced she is stepping back from politics. Michael and Nik discuss the legacy she'll leave in the Five Minutes of Politics segment. And there's a couple of changes when it comes to national issues of concern for Canadians: the deficit is down and environment and jobs are back up. All that and more on this week's episode of Trend Line with CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos.

Jul 1

24 min 33 sec

On this week's episode… Green Party Leader Annamie Paul faces political infighting – how can she move forward on the national stage? Nik's recommendation: focus on what the party is known for. And prime ministers often go on international tours, but is there something to read into Justin Trudeau's recent trip to the G7 and NATO summits? Finally, a recent Nanos survey shows how Canadians feel about sending vaccinated children back to school with unvaccinated children. Is this conversation going to prompt a larger discussion about vaccine passports in the country? That's all on this episode of Trend Line with CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos.

Jun 17

15 min 48 sec

CTVNews.ca Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos are back with another episode of Trend Line. On today's episode Rachel and Nik discuss how military misconduct and Canada’s vaccine rollout have intersected, and how it ranks as an issue of concern for Canadians. And, as economies around the world start to reopen, how do Canadians feel about the strength of Canada's economy? After the break Elizabeth Dubois, a digital media and political communications professor from the University of Ottawa, joins the chat to discuss the Liberal government's Bill C-10 and other online regulation aims. How will these policies affect our lives online and will they achieve what the government intends? It's an enlightening conversation on a topic that we're sure to hear about more in the future. A note for our listeners: Nik Nanos is an honourary captain in the Royal Canadian Navy. During the discussion, the video streaming service Crave is mentioned. Crave is owned by Bell Media, which also owns CTV News. For more from Elizabeth Dubois and her students you can go to www.polcommtech.ca.

May 20

28 min 38 sec

CTVNews.ca's Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the latest report cards on how the provinces are faring when it comes to handling COVID-19 spread and getting shots in arms, and how Canadians' mental health is holding up more than a year into the pandemic. Also, Nik weighs in on the potential impact of NACI's confusing vaccine messaging and Prime Minister Trudeau's comments towards anti-lockdown protesters.   ------ Following is a list of links to suicide and crisis hotlines, and resources dedicated to the prevention of suicide as well as how to find counselling. National Crisis Hotlines Kids Help Phone 1-800-668-6868 Crisis Services Canada 1-833-456-4566 or text 45645 First Nations and Inuit Hope for Wellness Help Line 1‑855‑242-3310 Canada Drug Rehab Addiction Services Directory 1-888-245-6887 National Eating Disorder Information Centre 1-866-633-4220

May 6

19 min 42 sec

CTVNews.ca's Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss how flip-flopping pandemic rules from Ont. Premier Doug Ford undermines confidence in more than just the government of the day. Also, with news that the federal government will help with the pandemic in Ontario, Nik explains why it might be a move that the Liberals won't let residents of the province forget. Also this week: Canada's first federal female finance minister tabled the 2021 budget. Nik weighs in on how some of the policies in the document could potentially affect federal politics for decades to come.

Apr 22

20 min 43 sec

CTVNews.ca's Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the need for new messaging from politicians and health officials as virus variants continue to spread across Canada. Also, the first federal budget in two years is set to be unveiled on April 19. What do Canadians want to see in terms of spending? Finally, with an on-the-spot naming decision, this week's Trend Line "Bright Spot" focuses on a scene that resembles normalcy south of the border.

Apr 8

25 min 4 sec

Special report on China with Paul Heinbecker CTVNews.ca's Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos host a discussion with former diplomat Paul Heinbecker on the state of Canada-China relations. What can Canada do moving forward? Is there a way out of the situation with Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor? Also, Nik weighs in on the Conservative Party policy convention and explains why he thinks a defeated motion on climate change will become the next Liberal attack ad. Note: There are some audio pauses in this week's show as we were dealing with some connection issues.

Mar 25

20 min 26 sec

CTVNews.ca's Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss a new survey that shows the Liberals on top when it comes to who Canadians trust with federal finances and what exactly that means for the Conservatives and Leader Erin O'Toole. Also, do we need a vaccine PSA? Rachel and Nik reminisce about notable public service announcements of the past and when we might see something similar rolled out for COVID-19. Finally, as vaccines are administered around the world, are "vaccine passports" coming to Canada? Nik and Rachel discuss why the conversation around the controversial idea is only starting now.  

Mar 11

18 min 8 sec

CTVNews.ca’s Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the first bilateral meeting between Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and U.S. President Joe Biden. Also, we assess the impact Canada’s sputtering vaccine rollout is having on federal and provincial governments. Plus, is it time to get real about the prospect of a spring election? 

Feb 25

19 min 36 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss whether Canadians believe Prime Minister Trudeau when he says everyone in the country will have access to a COVID-19 vaccine by September. Also, a report card of sorts is out: How do the feds and provinces rank on their coronavirus responses? Spoiler: there's room for everyone to improve. A programming note from the Trend Line team: Michael Stittle will be off for the next few months. We'll be back with CTVNews.ca online politics producer Rachel Aiello.

Feb 11

18 min 6 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss what could be behind Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole's preferred PM bump and the impact of regional anger on today's federal politics.  Also, former ambassador to the United States Michael Kergin joins the show to discus the new Biden administration, the prolonged border closure and what a change in the White House means for Canada's relationship with China. This episode was recorded on Jan. 27, 2021.

Jan 28

26 min 12 sec

Trend Line takes a look back on 12 months that nobody could have predicted. CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the year that was, whether anyone emerged as a political winner amid the pandemic, and revisit some prophetic analysis. Also, what's coming up in 2021? Tariff announcements, maybe. Hopefully they'll come during regular business hours.

Dec 2020

21 min 28 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the potential political fallout over the Liberal government's vaccine messaging, and if there's a divide emerging between various federal and provincial conservative parties. Also, Nik highlights some tracking numbers that show the federal NDP and Greens picking up support.

Nov 2020

18 min 52 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos discuss the preliminary results of the U.S. election and how different polling methodologies performed in predicting who would come out ahead. Also, what happens when various public health officials aren’t using the same playbook? Nik weighs in on the potential impact.

Nov 2020

24 min

It's election season! CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos get you up to speed with a U.S. election night primer: what you need to watch for and the critical different between national and state polling. Also, Nik and Michael discuss what the outcomes of two federal byelections and several provincial campaigns means for a potential general election call. It’s Trend Line time!  

Oct 2020

19 min 33 sec

CTVNews.ca’s Michael Stittle and Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos discuss how Canadians’ concerns about COVID-19 are surging again as Canada experiences a second wave of the virus; what the selection of Annamie Paul as Green Party leader will mean for federal politics; and Nik weighs in on why Joe Biden's lead may not be so comfortably large as the polls would have you believe.

Oct 2020

21 min 28 sec

CTVNews.ca’s Michael Stittle and Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos discuss how U.S. President Donald Trump could be trying to “devalue” mail-in ballots ahead of the upcoming election. Also, Nik gives an update on the national ballot tracking numbers and discusses whether provincial governments are taking a gamble by holding elections during a pandemic.  Note: This episode was recorded on Wednesday, September 30th. 

Oct 2020

18 min 12 sec

CTVNews.ca's Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss what we should watch for in the upcoming Throne Speech; and what shape are the opposition parties in ahead of what could be a snap election?Also, are Erin O'Toole's ambitions to triple the Conservative caucus in Quebec realistic?

Sep 2020

12 min 36 sec

CTVNews.ca’s Michael Stittle and Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos discuss how politicians on both sides of the border are reacting to calls for racial justice and what new Conservative Party Leader Erin O’Toole needs to do to make himself known to Canadians. Also, Nik looks ahead to what we can expect to see on election night in the U.S.

Sep 2020

29 min 55 sec

CTVNews.ca's Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss whether Chrystia Freeland is now the most powerful minister since the Second World War, and if the Liberal speech from the throne will contain something that will trigger an election. Also, the pair discuss the Conservative leadership race. And, why are Canadians feeling more anger towards the federal government?

Aug 2020

21 min 28 sec

CTVNews.ca’s Michael Stittle and Nanos Research’s Nik Nanos discuss how Canadians feel about transitioning to a green economy during the pandemic; if the recent upward trend in consumer confidence will remain after CERB ends; and did Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s testimony before a Commons committee help or hurt the Liberals?

Aug 2020

21 min 16 sec

CTV News' Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss how the WE scandal is impacting support for the Liberals and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau; a look at how parties try to “crowd out” the news cycle; and how recent surveys show Canadians are at a tipping point when it comes to dealing with China.

Jul 2020

21 min 40 sec

CTV News' Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the government's historic fiscal snapshot that revealed a projected deficit in the hundreds of billions; why an overwhelming majority of Canadians want to keep the border closed; and latest numbers that show just how divided we are when it comes to how to fix systemic racism in the RCMP.

Jul 2020

19 min 40 sec

CTV News' Michael Stittle and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss how concern over the coronavirus is fluctuating in Canada; what strong Liberal numbers mean for a possible early election call; and Nik makes a prediction on how collaborative the government will be over the next few months.

Jun 2020

15 min 38 sec

Guest host Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss the calls for politicians to go beyond “pretty words” when it comes to anti-Black racism; if mixed messaging will undo the goodwill political leaders earned during the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic; and the hesitations Canadians still have to reopening the border.

Jun 2020

19 min 1 sec

CTV News' Rachel Aiello and Nanos Research's Nik Nanos discuss why Prime Minister Justin Trudeau may keep up his regular COVID-19 press conferences and if the coronavirus is still a top concern for Canadians. Also, did someone say Stephen Harper?

May 2020

19 min 7 sec

Nik and Michael discuss where Canadians stand on the U.S. border; and how the economy is rebounding as a top concern. Want to see the data? You can watch Trend Line on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLLzHOgGvydCmsZNyECKYu2uhESwTTz1Rs 

May 2020

16 min

Nik and Michael discuss how COVID-19 is impacting consumer confidence and why some Conservative critiques of the federal government’s response might not be resonating with Canadians.

May 2020

16 min 51 sec